By signing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) worth $78.0 million, China could align its LIB CFs with those of South Korea and Japan. If China''s official electricity CF were recognized by the EU, this cost would decrease to $50.5 million.
The demand for LIBs used in China''s BEVs increased from 4.86 MWh in 2010 to 348.0 GWh in 2023, reflecting an annual growth rate of 136.30 %. The export-driven demand for BEVs rose from <0.0 % in 2010 to 13.4 % in 2023. In 2023, China generated 163.2 kt of spent LIBs, containing 3.3 kt of lithium, 5.3 kt of cobalt, and 10.6 kt of nickel.
Projections for 2025 indicate that China will export NCM523, NCM622, NCM811, and LFP batteries with BEVs to the European Union, with export volumes of 5.3 GWh, 1.5 GWh, 8.5 GWh, and 8.2 GWh, respectively.
Due to varying levels of grid decarbonization, the ranking of LIB CFs across different countries is: EU < US < South Korea < Japan < China, putting China at high risk of EU market exclusion. By signing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) worth $78.0 million, China could align its LIB CFs with those of South Korea and Japan.
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